Solihull Moors 2-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 31% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
22%
4.16
X/2
8%
9.22
X/X
15%
5.03
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
13%
6.91
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
2.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.54
+23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Maidenhead United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
18.11.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-2 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
07.04.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.10.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-2 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
02.04.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 3-1 HT 2-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
11.12.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-4 HT 0-3 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solihull Moors
2-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors squeezed past Maidenhead United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Solihull Moors as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Solihull Moors had 66% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 34%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Maidenhead United?

Solihull Moors 2-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 46%, draw 28%, Maidenhead United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Solihull Moors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Solihull Moors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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