Wycombe Wanderers 2-3 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.16
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
11%
6.86
X/2
9%
4.45
X/X
10%
4.65
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.83
2/X
12%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
242 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Birmingham
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
128 Passes 216
46% Pass Accuracy 61%
20 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2021 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
04.11.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNCL
13.08.2008 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2-3
AWAY Birmingham
0.54 xG 1.15
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
137 Passes 555
61% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham edged past Wycombe Wanderers 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 26% of the ball to Birmingham's 74%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.67 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Birmingham?

Wycombe Wanderers 2-3 Birmingham in the England - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 30%, draw 27%, Birmingham 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
17 Aug 2024
14:30 Shrewsbury vs Peterborough United Analysis →
14:30 Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
17:00 Cambridge United vs Crawley Town Analysis →
17:00 Huddersfield Town vs Stevenage Analysis →
17:00 Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion Analysis →
17:00 Lincoln City vs Barnsley Analysis →