APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 Hills Brumbies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.68
Over 2.5
67%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.3pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Hills Brumbies EU Bookmakers 12%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.55/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/3.19
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hills Brumbies
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.05.2024 Hills Brumbies Hills Brumbies 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Hills Brumbies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers swept aside Hills Brumbies 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Hills Brumbies?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 Hills Brumbies in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Hills Brumbies?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 64%, draw 16%, Hills Brumbies 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
17 Aug 2024
07:15 Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras Analysis →
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC Analysis →
08:30 Yoogali vs Gungahlin Analysis →
09:30 Sutherland Sharks vs St George City FA Analysis →
09:30 Devonport City vs Riverside Olympic Analysis →
09:45 Kingborough Lions vs Launceston City Analysis →