Adelaide City 2-1 Adelaide Comets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Comets EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.12
+15% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Adelaide Comets
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 0-1 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
07.03.2024 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
03.06.2023 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
11.03.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-3 HT 2-0 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVNPL
09.09.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-1 HT 2-1 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets AVSA
18.06.2022 Adelaide Comets Adelaide Comets 0-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City edged past Adelaide Comets 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adelaide City and 1.33 for Adelaide Comets.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets?

Adelaide City 2-1 Adelaide Comets in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 47%, draw 21%, Adelaide Comets 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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