Cesena 0-0 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 17 Aug 2025

Cesena
0-0 HT 0-0
Pisa
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
12%
24.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.28
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
15%
6.6
X/2
15%
4.66
X/X
14%
3.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
349 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2025 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
05.10.2024 Pisa Pisa 3-1 HT 2-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
25.09.2024 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTK
08.04.2017 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
13.11.2016 Cesena Cesena 2-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
09.02.2008 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
0-0
AWAY Pisa
0.96 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
419 Passes 405
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Pisa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cesena had 51% of the ball to Pisa's 49%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cesena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cesena and 1.17 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Pisa?

Cesena 0-0 Pisa in the Italy - Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cesena 38%, draw 27%, Pisa 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesena), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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