Haka vs HJK Helsinki Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haka v HJK Helsinki — Team-Based Signals
Haka vs HJK Helsinki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
HJK Helsinki
FİN
Haka 1-2 HJK Helsinki — Actual Match Statistics
HJK Helsinki squeezed past Haka 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Haka had 22% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 78%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.46 to 2.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold HJK Helsinki's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haka and 1.67 for HJK Helsinki.
What was the final score of Haka vs HJK Helsinki?
Haka 1-2 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haka vs HJK Helsinki?
Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Haka 16%, draw 17%, HJK Helsinki 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.