Dinamo Moscow 1-3 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.56
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.44
X/2
12%
5.81
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.95
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +6%
1.46/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.37
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.0 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
06.04.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
12.03.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
06.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
25.11.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-3 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
19.08.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
1-3
AWAY CSKA Moskova
2.15 xG 2.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
395 Passes 255
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova got the better of Dinamo Moscow 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Moscow at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 58% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 42%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.15 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.67 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Dinamo Moscow 1-3 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 42%, draw 24%, CSKA Moskova 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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