Rubin Kazan 1-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 34% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.74
X/2
13%
6.7
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.11
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.25/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.30
-17% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.8 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rostov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 308
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
09.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
11.05.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUK
12.08.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-0
AWAY Rostov
0.97 xG 0.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
280 Passes 273
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 4
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan edged past Rostov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rubin Kazan as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 51% of the ball to Rostov's 49%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.97 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.17 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Rostov?

Rubin Kazan 1-0 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 44%, draw 28%, Rostov 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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