Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2026

Spartak Varna
vs
Septemvri Sofia
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2026/2027

Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Spartak Varna v Septemvri Sofia — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.05.2026 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
16.04.2026 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
07.11.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-4 HT 0-2 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
16.03.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 4-2 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
30.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
24.09.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-2 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BULB
COMMENT Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Spartak Varna have scored in every one of their last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Septemvri Sofia lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.50 for Septemvri Sofia.

When do Spartak Varna and Septemvri Sofia play?

Spartak Varna play Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/08/2026, kick-off 19:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia?

Our model's prediction for Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia is a Spartak Varna win at about 45% probability, priced 1.89 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Spartak Varna 45%, draw 29%, Septemvri Sofia 26%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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