Aucas vs LDU Quito Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Aug 2026

Aucas
vs
LDU Quito
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Aucas vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Aucas v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Aucas vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 0.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.04.2026 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
10.08.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
19.04.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
18.08.2024 Aucas Aucas 0-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 1-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
14.08.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
COMMENT Aucas vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Aucas have won 4 of their last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 0 of LDU Quito's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aucas and 0.83 for LDU Quito.

When do Aucas and LDU Quito play?

Aucas play LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/08/2026, kick-off 03:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Aucas vs LDU Quito?

Our model's prediction for Aucas vs LDU Quito is a Aucas win at about 42% probability, priced 2.38 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Aucas 42%, draw 26%, LDU Quito 33%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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