LDU Quito 0-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas The Market 29%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.50/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.24
+33% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.2 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aucas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
19.04.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
18.08.2024 Aucas Aucas 0-1 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
16.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-2 HT 1-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
14.08.2023 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
05.03.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
0-0
AWAY Aucas
0.40 xG 1.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and Aucas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 50% of the ball to Aucas's 50%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.40 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for LDU Quito and 0.83 for Aucas.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs Aucas?

LDU Quito 0-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 45%, draw 26%, Aucas 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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