Barcelona SC 2-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
15%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.71
Over
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Barcelona SC win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
54%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
16%
Away Win
20%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa The Market 23%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -25%
1.46/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.65
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.3 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 0.90
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 Passes 141
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.06.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-5 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
24.02.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
01.12.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-2 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
03.06.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.08.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
2-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.38 xG 0.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
406 Passes 168
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC nicked a narrow win over Mushuc Runa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 67% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 33%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.38 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.83 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa?

Barcelona SC 2-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 62%, draw 23%, Mushuc Runa 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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