Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Guadalajara
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Guadalajara Guadalajara 3-0 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
11.08.2025 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 1-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
12.01.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
06.11.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
14.01.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
27.08.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
COMMENT Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Guadalajara's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Guadalajara.

When do Santos Laguna and Guadalajara play?

Santos Laguna play Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 17/08/2026, kick-off 04:10 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara?

Our model's prediction for Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara is an Guadalajara win at about 49% probability, priced 1.52 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Santos Laguna 27%, draw 24%, Guadalajara 49%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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