17/08/2026
·
06:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Tijuana v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tijuana
2W-1D-3L
AWAY
Cruz Azul
1.33
Avg Goals (FT)
1.67
1.10
xG
2.12
57%
Ball Possession
43%
9
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
5
405
Passes
272
82%
Pass Accuracy
76%
18
Box Touches
27
14
Crosses
17
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
COMMENT
Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers
Tijuana have won 4 of their last 5 home league games, while both teams have scored in 5 of Cruz Azul's last 5 away league games.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 1.67 for Cruz Azul.
When do Tijuana and Cruz Azul play?
Tijuana play Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 17/08/2026, kick-off 06:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Who is predicted to win Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Our model's prediction for Tijuana vs Cruz Azul is an Cruz Azul win at about 41% probability, priced 2.24 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Tijuana 36%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 41%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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MEK
More Mexico - Primera
17 Aug 2026