Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cruz Azul 1-1 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul and Tijuana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cruz Azul at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 66% of the ball to Tijuana's 34%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.25 to 1.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Tijuana?
Cruz Azul 1-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 70%, draw 17%, Tijuana 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.