Leon vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
FC Juarez
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
Leon 3-1 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Leon got the better of FC Juarez 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Leon had 56% of the ball to FC Juarez's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.27 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Juarez.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leon and 1.00 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Leon vs FC Juarez?
Leon 3-1 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leon 49%, draw 23%, FC Juarez 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.