Necaxa vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Necaxa 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Necaxa had 27% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 73%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.75 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Necaxa and 2.50 for Tigres UANL.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?
Necaxa 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 35%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.