Monterrey vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Monterrey
MEK
Monterrey 1-3 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca beat Monterrey 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Pachuca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterrey had 56% of the ball to Pachuca's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.77 to 1.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterrey and 1.67 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Pachuca?
Monterrey 1-3 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 38%, draw 25%, Pachuca 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.