Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Tijuana 2-0 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana saw off Cruz Azul 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tijuana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tijuana had 62% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 38%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.08 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tijuana and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Tijuana 2-0 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 33%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.