Guadalajara 3-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒02:07 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.92
2-3 Goals
34%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.41
6+ Goals
12%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.84/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.82
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.5 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalajara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
342 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2025 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 1-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
12.01.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
06.11.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
14.01.2024 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
27.08.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
05.03.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-0 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalajara
3-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.60 xG 0.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara cruised past Santos Laguna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guadalajara had 57% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 43%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.60 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guadalajara and 0.67 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna?

Guadalajara 3-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 64%, draw 20%, Santos Laguna 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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