Atletico San Luis 1-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.12/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.21
-4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.6 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pachuca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
329 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
21.04.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.07.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
29.08.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
23.04.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-1
AWAY Pachuca
1.07 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
293 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis and Pachuca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 44% of the ball to Pachuca's 56%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.33 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?

Atletico San Luis 1-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 37%, draw 25%, Pachuca 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
15 Mar 2026
02:07 Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna Analysis →
04:00 Leon vs Tijuana Analysis →
04:00 Toluca vs Atlas Analysis →
06:10 Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Analysis →