Pachuca 2-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.82/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.55
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.2 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
376 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.07.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
29.08.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
23.04.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.09.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-2 HT 1-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.82 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
281 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca edged past Atletico San Luis 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Pachuca had 46% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 54%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis?

Pachuca 2-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 49%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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