Club America vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-3
HT 0-1
Club America
MEK
Club America 4-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Club America swept aside Pumas UNAM 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Club America had 55% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 45%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.79 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club America and 0.67 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Club America vs Pumas UNAM?
Club America 4-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Club America 54%, draw 23%, Pumas UNAM 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.