Leon 0-3 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Mar 2026

Leon
0-3 HT 0-3
Tijuana
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Leon vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leon v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.58/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.5 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leon vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 5-0 HT 3-0 Leon Leon MEK
02.03.2025 Leon Leon 2-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.08.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
04.03.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
24.09.2023 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
22.04.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 0-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK

Leon 0-3 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
0-3
AWAY Tijuana
1.02 xG 1.37
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
509 Passes 191
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leon vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana swept aside Leon 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Leon at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Leon had 70% of the ball to Tijuana's 30%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.02 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leon and 1.50 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Leon vs Tijuana?

Leon 0-3 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leon vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leon 52%, draw 24%, Tijuana 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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