Pumas UNAM 2-2 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
9.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.28/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.38
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.2 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.37 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 Passes 362
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-3 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
06.04.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-2 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
27.10.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-2 HT 0-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.05.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-2 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
10.05.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
31.03.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
2-2
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.08 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
248 Passes 232
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 36
20 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 52% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 48%, shots finished 6-25, expected goals 1.08 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?

Pumas UNAM 2-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 30%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ BTTS Yes
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