Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - Premier League, 17 Aug 2026

Casa Pia
vs
Benfica
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Portugal - Premier League – 2026/2027

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
9.57
Draw
16%
5.28
Away Pick
74%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Casa Pia v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Casa Pia vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Benfica
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 1.93
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
206 Passes 513
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2026 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
09.11.2025 Benfica Benfica 2-2 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
25.01.2025 Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-1 HT 1-1 Benfica Benfica POR
17.08.2024 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
17.03.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
28.10.2023 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
COMMENT Casa Pia vs Benfica
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 0 of Casa Pia's last 5 home league games, and both teams have scored in 5 of Benfica's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Casa Pia and 1.50 for Benfica.

When do Casa Pia and Benfica play?

Casa Pia play Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 17/08/2026, kick-off 22:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Casa Pia vs Benfica?

Our model's prediction for Casa Pia vs Benfica is an Benfica win at about 74% probability, priced 1.23 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Casa Pia 10%, draw 16%, Benfica 74%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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