Bayern München U19 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.96
Over Pick
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.72
2-3
39%
2.15
4-5
28%
2.49
6+
14%
5.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-8.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.56/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.90
-47% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
40.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
24.6 Crosses 7.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
04.03.2020 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 2-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19 UEGL
09.12.2015 Dinamo Zagreb U19 Dinamo Zagreb U19 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayern München U19 Bayern München U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München U19
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb U19
1.19 xG 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
502 Passes 211
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bayern München U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München U19 squeezed past Dinamo Zagreb U19 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern München U19 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München U19 had 66% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb U19's 34%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.19 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayern München U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayern München U19 and 1.00 for Dinamo Zagreb U19.

What was the final score of Bayern München U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19?

Bayern München U19 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bayern München U19 59%, draw 19%, Dinamo Zagreb U19 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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