Juventus U19 1-0 PSV U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.98
2-3
37%
1.84
4-5
27%
3.12
6+
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.00
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +69%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus U19
1-0
AWAY PSV U19
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus U19 vs PSV U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus U19 nicked a narrow win over PSV U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Juventus U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Juventus U19 had 46% of the ball to PSV U19's 54%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Juventus U19 vs PSV U19?

Juventus U19 1-0 PSV U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus U19 vs PSV U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juventus U19 38%, draw 30%, PSV U19 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus U19) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus U19) ✗ BTTS Yes
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