Young Boys U19 2-1 Aston Villa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over Pick
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
18%
5.5
2-3
44%
2.01
4-5
26%
2.66
6+
12%
6.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U19 EU Bookmakers 58%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys U19
2-1
AWAY Aston Villa U19
1.12 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
208 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Young Boys U19 vs Aston Villa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys U19 squeezed past Aston Villa U19 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U19 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys U19 had 44% of the ball to Aston Villa U19's 56%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.12 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Young Boys U19 vs Aston Villa U19?

Young Boys U19 2-1 Aston Villa U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys U19 vs Aston Villa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Young Boys U19 27%, draw 24%, Aston Villa U19 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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