Sporting CP U19 2-2 Lille U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.18
Over Pick
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.28
2-3
43%
1.87
4-5
23%
2.98
6+
11%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.05/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/3.56
+4% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.6 Crosses 11.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U19
2-2
AWAY Lille U19
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U19 vs Lille U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 and Lille U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U19 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP U19 had 53% of the ball to Lille U19's 47%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U19 vs Lille U19?

Sporting CP U19 2-2 Lille U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U19 vs Lille U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U19 51%, draw 26%, Lille U19 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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