Milan U19 0-0 Liverpool U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.29
Over Pick
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.76
2-3
44%
1.92
4-5
21%
2.82
6+
12%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.5pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.35/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.19
+57% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U19
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Liverpool U19
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2021 Milan U19 Milan U19 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool U19 Liverpool U19 UEGL
15.09.2021 Liverpool U19 Liverpool U19 1-0 HT 1-0 Milan U19 Milan U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U19
0-0
AWAY Liverpool U19
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan U19 vs Liverpool U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U19 and Liverpool U19 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U19 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Milan U19 had 53% of the ball to Liverpool U19's 47%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool U19 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Milan U19 and 1.00 for Liverpool U19.

What was the final score of Milan U19 vs Liverpool U19?

Milan U19 0-0 Liverpool U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U19 vs Liverpool U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Milan U19 47%, draw 23%, Liverpool U19 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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