Real Madrid U19 1-0 VfB Stuttgart U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
3.14
Over
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
17%
7.9
2-3
41%
2.3
4-5
28%
2.4
6+
14%
4.28
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.9 — our 17% vs market 8.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Real Madrid U19 win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
62%
-1.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-17.0pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Stuttgart U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
1-0
AWAY VfB Stuttgart U19
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 edged past VfB Stuttgart U19 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 63% of the ball to VfB Stuttgart U19's 37%, shots finished 19-3.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19?

Real Madrid U19 1-0 VfB Stuttgart U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 60%, draw 18%, VfB Stuttgart U19 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid U19) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5
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