Lugano 1-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 Sep 2025

Lugano
1-1 HT 1-0
Lausanne Sports
📅17/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Lugano vs Lausanne Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
13%
7.81
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.95
2/2
8%
5.63
2/X
5%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.95 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugano v Lausanne Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.55/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.57
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.7 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lugano vs Lausanne Sports Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.25 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
392 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
21.04.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-0 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
15.12.2024 Lugano Lugano 1-4 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
18.09.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.04.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
04.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV

Lugano 1-1 Lausanne Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.38 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
388 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Lausanne Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Lugano had 56% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lugano and 1.83 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Lausanne Sports?

Lugano 1-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lugano 52%, draw 23%, Lausanne Sports 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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