Lausanne Sports 1-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.36
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
21%
4.72
X/2
14%
8.76
X/X
10%
5.87
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -15%
1.47/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.0 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lugano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 1.30
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 406
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-0 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
15.12.2024 Lugano Lugano 1-4 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
18.09.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.04.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
04.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-4 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
1-1
AWAY Lugano
1.27 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
332 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports and Lugano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 52% of the ball to Lugano's 48%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.27 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.67 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Lugano?

Lausanne Sports 1-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 44%, draw 25%, Lugano 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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