Young Boys 6-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.32
No
43%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.88
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.43
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.99
X/2
8%
8.38
X/X
11%
6.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.7
2/2
12%
5.36
2/X
9%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.7 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
72%
-14.8pp
43%
BTTS No
28%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.95/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.60
+52% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.3 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Basel
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
30.10.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 3-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
06.10.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
10.03.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-0 Basel Basel İSV
27.01.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
08.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
6-2
AWAY Basel
3.54 xG 2.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
217 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys swept aside Basel 6-2. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Young Boys had 41% of the ball to Basel's 59%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 3.54 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Young Boys and 1.00 for Basel.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Basel?

Young Boys 6-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 47%, draw 26%, Basel 26%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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