Luzern 3-4 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 May 2025

Luzern
3-4 HT 0-2
Servette
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Luzern vs Servette Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.43
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
6%
24.65
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
5.76
X/2
9%
7.0
X/X
12%
6.39
2/1
6%
21.0
2/2
17%
4.01
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · X/1 at 5.76 — our 18% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.6pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luzern v Servette — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.78/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.36
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.2 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Luzern vs Servette Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Servette
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 1.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
301 Passes 337
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.04.2025 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
31.10.2024 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
21.07.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
17.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Servette Servette İSV
29.10.2023 Servette Servette 4-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.09.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV

Luzern 3-4 Servette — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
3-4
AWAY Servette
1.99 xG 3.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
324 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Luzern 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Luzern had 51% of the ball to Servette's 49%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.99 to 3.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Servette's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luzern and 2.00 for Servette.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Servette?

Luzern 3-4 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Luzern 44%, draw 24%, Servette 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5
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