Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.86
Over
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.09
2-3
41%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.36
6+
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar The Market 55%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.38/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/2.77
+49% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / -71%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 2.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 414
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-6 HT 0-3 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
29.07.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
01.03.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
28.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
29.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
05.11.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-2
AWAY Krasnodar
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Krasnodar nicked a narrow win over Krylya Sovetov 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Krasnodar saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Krylya Sovetov against 2.00 for Krasnodar.

Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar Result & Final Score

Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 22%, draw 28%, Krasnodar 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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