Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.75
Over
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.78
2-3
39%
1.7
4-5
24%
3.7
6+
10%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny The Market 23%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.65/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.57
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
403 Passes 234
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.07.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
24.05.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
27.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
10.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
06.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-1
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zenit St. Petersburg shaded a tight game against FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 56% to 44% in Zenit St. Petersburg's favour, shots finished 13-9.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Zenit St. Petersburg against 0.67 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny Result & Final Score

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Cup on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 53%, draw 28%, FC Akhmat Grozny 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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