Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.24
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
16%
4.03
X/2
8%
10.65
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1
12%
23.55
2/2
9%
8.9
2/X
8%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.60/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
-10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
25.1 Crosses 14.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Tokyo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
286 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-3 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
31.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
09.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
05.06.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
02.03.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
28.10.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.97 xG 0.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
382 Passes 228
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and FC Tokyo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Sanfrecce Hiroshima carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 60% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 40%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.97 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.00 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55%, draw 22%, FC Tokyo 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
17 Oct 2025
13:00 Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →