Marino De Luanco 1-1 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.89/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.09
-27% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
29.10.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
19.02.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
02.10.2022 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
06.12.2013 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-1
AWAY Guijuelo
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco and Guijuelo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marino De Luanco at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 43% of the ball to Guijuelo's 57%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Marino De Luanco and 0.60 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Guijuelo?

Marino De Luanco 1-1 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 41%, draw 30%, Guijuelo 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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