Zaragoza II 3-1 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.29/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.21
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaragoza II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Barbastro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Barbastro Barbastro 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
22.10.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 0-2 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
3-1
AWAY Barbastro
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II saw off Barbastro 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zaragoza II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 51% of the ball to Barbastro's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barbastro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zaragoza II and 1.50 for Barbastro.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Barbastro?

Zaragoza II 3-1 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaragoza II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 46%, draw 26%, Barbastro 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaragoza II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaragoza II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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