Albacete 2-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 52%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.72/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.97
-100% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
17.0 Crosses 24.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4 Corners 5
17.04.2011 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS2
21.11.2010 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.03.2010 Albacete Albacete 0-2 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS2
10.10.2009 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
28.03.2009 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.10.2008 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-2
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.02 xG 2.49
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
322 Passes 705
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Celta Vigo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Albacete had 36% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.02 to 2.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Albacete and 1.33 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Celta Vigo?

Albacete 2-2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Albacete 24%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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