Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.08
6+ Goals
12%
19.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.08 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.35
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
11%
5.3
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
10%
33.0
2/2
17%
3.6
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.48/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.10
+22% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
25.0 Crosses 19.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1-0
AWAY Levante
1.67 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
388 Passes 417
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa squeezed past Levante 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cultural Leonesa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 48% of the ball to Levante's 52%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.67 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Levante?

Cultural Leonesa 1-0 Levante in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 37%, draw 26%, Levante 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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