Talavera CF vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Talavera CF v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Talavera CF 2-3 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid squeezed past Talavera CF 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Talavera CF had 35% of the ball to Real Madrid's 65%, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 1.61 to 2.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid's control.
What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Real Madrid?
Talavera CF 2-3 Real Madrid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Real Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 10%, draw 18%, Real Madrid 71%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.