Racing Santander vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Santander v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Racing Santander vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Racing Santander
İS2
0-3
HT 0-2
Villarreal
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Racing Santander
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-2
HT 1-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-0
HT 2-0
Racing Santander
İS1
Racing Santander 2-1 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Santander squeezed past Villarreal 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
This one beat our numbers. Villarreal carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Racing Santander had 33% of the ball to Villarreal's 67%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 0.75 to 1.65 — on chances, Villarreal could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Racing Santander and 1.50 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Racing Santander 2-1 Villarreal in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 18%, draw 18%, Villarreal 63%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.