Atletico Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Baleares v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Baleares 2-3 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid squeezed past Atletico Baleares 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Atletico Baleares had 43% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 3.57 to 1.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Baleares.
What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Baleares 2-3 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 16%, draw 20%, Atletico Madrid 64%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.