Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-2
Sevilla
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İSPK
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves nicked a narrow win over Sevilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Alaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 52% of the ball to Sevilla's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.98 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo Alaves's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 1.67 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla?
Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Sevilla in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 35%, draw 29%, Sevilla 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sevilla) went the other way.