Luzern vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Luzern v Basel — Team-Based Signals
Luzern vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Luzern 1-2 Basel — Actual Match Statistics
Basel nicked a narrow win over Luzern 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
On the day, Luzern had 45% of the ball to Basel's 55%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.61 to 2.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Luzern and 1.50 for Basel.
What was the final score of Luzern vs Basel?
Luzern 1-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Luzern vs Basel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Luzern 31%, draw 20%, Basel 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.