Basel vs Luzern Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v Luzern — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs Luzern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Basel
İSV
Basel 4-0 Luzern — Actual Match Statistics
Basel swept aside Luzern 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
On the day, Basel had 56% of the ball to Luzern's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.67 to 0.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basel and 0.83 for Luzern.
What was the final score of Basel vs Luzern?
Basel 4-0 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs Luzern?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Basel 52%, draw 21%, Luzern 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.