Lugano 1-1 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.35
No
46%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
70%
-16.6pp
46%
BTTS No
30%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.39/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.35
-14% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.9 Crosses 21.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Young Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
330 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
10.11.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
27.10.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
11.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
10.02.2024 Lugano Lugano 3-3 HT 1-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
29.10.2023 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-1
AWAY Young Boys
0.85 xG 0.51
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
375 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Young Boys shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugano had 59% of the ball to Young Boys's 41%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.85 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugano and 1.17 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Young Boys?

Lugano 1-1 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lugano 44%, draw 25%, Young Boys 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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